Friday, April 5, 2013

Trading Down


Where is Eric Mangini when you need him?  
 
In a recent article done by the Canton Repository, Banner said this: “My history has been more trading down than up or staying,” Banner also said. “I have had some instances where we’ve traded up for a player we thought was really good at a position we thought was difference making.

“But historically I have either stayed or traded back. Accumulating picks over the course of the draft is a good strategy generally.”

So the odds of Banner moving down seem pretty good in my opinion and I agree, the more picks you can accumulate during a draft the better chance you’ll have at improving the team.  That is obvious.  

This year for the Browns, the cards appear to be lined up for a team to move up for an offensive lineman or a QB.  Jumping in front of Arizona and Buffalo is the way to go if you’re looking to improve on the offensive side of the ball.  As Tommy Dee pointed out, Miami is in the market for an O-lineman such as Eric Fisher or Lane Johnson.  Miami has spent tons of money this offseason in an attempt to improve their team through free agency so why would they stop now? 

Moving down to 12 wouldn’t hurt the Browns either, especially if it gains them a pick in the second round.  Some names that come to mind at 12 are Jarvis Jones, Chance Warmack, Barkevious Mingo, Tyler Eifert and Kenny Vaccaro.  I also don’t discount the idea of taking a QB in this scenario either because (1) it’s not a dumb idea and (2) you never know what these guys are thinking.   

In a perfect world the Browns will trade down in this draft and pick up a second rounder but what are the odds and who are they missing out on at 6?  Not everybody can be Bill Belichick and muster up a resume of 37 draft day trades but if Banner and Lombardi can pull one off this year, i don't know many people that would be upset. 

10 comments:

  1. The big question: is there any player that would be there at 6 that would stop them from moving out of the spot. Milliner? Jordan?

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    1. I honestly don't think that there is. All the OLB's come with some injury risk or lack of experience and as much as i like Jones over Jordan or Ansah, that additional second round pick kind of evens out what they are worth, espically if moving back in the draft.

      Milliner may be the only reason they'd stay but when you have a Haden already on the team do you need a DB @6?

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  2. I'm not sure Milliner is elite material. Is there a huge dropoff after him? You could get Rhodes at 12 in the move down if concerned but I really like some of the CBs in the 2nd, like the guy I picked in the ideal draft, Robert Alford.

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  3. I agree that we should try to trade back and get our 2nd round pick back but remember, trading back is only possible if there's a player another team is willing to trade up for. Who is that player in this draft?

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    1. Eric Fisher or Lane Johnson to a team like Miami.

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    2. Could be Geno Smith too. I know nobody likes him but he is the top QB in this class and despite what people might think because of free agency, Cleveland, Buffalo or Arizona could still take him.

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  4. Is it even realistic to think we could get our #2 back to trade down 5 or 6 spots?

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  5. Yep, the value of the 6th pick is 1600. 12th pick is worth 1200 and the 12th in round 2 is worth 460. Do the math, its 1600 - 1660

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  6. Or just look at the Rams - Cowboys trade from last year's draft. Similar.

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  7. ...that's why I ask the experts.

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